EURUSD Asia briefing — 2026-09-30

BIAS BEARISH. Trend vote (D1 + EMA H4 + EMA H1) aligned downward; H4 and H1 fair value gaps confirm lower direction. Liquidity sweep of lows provides bullish nuance but does not override core bearish structure. KEY LEVELS R: 1.135, 1.14, 1.16538 | S: 1.13097, 1.13, 1.125 NEWS 🟡 ECB Elderson speech 02:20 UTC | 🔴 ADP Employment 12:15 UTC SESSION OUTLOOK Asia session opens with ECB rhetoric risk. ADP later shifts focus to USD strength; watch for fresh sweep or FVG rejection near resistance ahead.

Key Levels

R: 1.13500 · 1.14000 · 1.16538

S: 1.13097 · 1.13000 · 1.12500