EURUSD New York briefing — 2026-09-29

BIAS BEARISH. D1+H4+H1 trend alignment, oversold RSI, and bearish fair value gaps across H4 and H1 drive directional conviction downward. KEY LEVELS R: 1.135, 1.14, 1.16538 | S: 1.13315, 1.13, 1.125 NEWS 🟡 ECB Escrivá speech (11:40 UTC) 🟡 Housing Price Index MoM (13:00 UTC) SESSION OUTLOOK Escrivá remarks risk EUR volatility into US data. Watch 1.135 resistance for rejection confirmation; oversold bounce possible into support test.

Key Levels

R: 1.13500 · 1.14000 · 1.16538

S: 1.13315 · 1.13000 · 1.12500