We publish our accuracy

How we measure this

• Before each session opens, FXBias publishes a directional bias (bullish or bearish) for each pair.
• At session close we compare the predicted direction against the realized move from session open to close.
• A call is correct when the market made a directional move our way, wrong when it moved the opposite way.
• Flat means the open-to-close move stayed within a predefined threshold: 0.2% for forex pairs, 0.4% for gold. Flat sessions are reported separately and excluded from the directional hit rate, because the market did not resolve in either direction. We show the flat count so nothing is hidden.
• Stand-aside / neutral calls are not graded — when there's no clear edge, we say so rather than forcing a guess.
• Hit rate = correct ÷ (correct + wrong). Pairs with fewer than 5 graded sessions are hidden to avoid small-sample noise.

What this measures — and what it does not. Hit rate measures directional accuracy only. It does not account for spreads, slippage, position sizing, stop-loss execution or risk/reward, and it does not establish trading profitability. No analysis is right every time. FXBias is an analytical tool for educational purposes — not financial advice, and not a guarantee of future results.