EURUSD Asia briefing — 2026-09-29

BIAS BEARISH. D1+H4+H1 EMA alignment, H4/H1 fair value gaps, and liquidity sweep of lows (despite bullish intent) confirm downside pressure. KEY LEVELS R: 1.14, 1.145, 1.16538 | S: 1.13527, 1.135, 1.13 NEWS 🟡 ECB Cipollone speech (07:45 UTC) 🟡 Business Climate (09:00 UTC) 🟡 Consumer Confidence (09:00 UTC) SESSION OUTLOOK Watch for volatility around ECB data releases. Lower support at 1.135 is key; break below tightens bearish case into London open.

Key Levels

R: 1.14000 · 1.14500 · 1.16538

S: 1.13527 · 1.13500 · 1.13000