EURUSD New York briefing — 2026-09-28

BIAS BEARISH. D1 + H4 + H1 EMAs aligned downward; H4 and H1 fair value gaps confirm lower bias; RSI neutral supports continuation without overbought risk. KEY LEVELS R: 1.14, 1.145, 1.16538 | S: 1.13598, 1.135, 1.13 NEWS 🔴 ECB President Lagarde speech (Mon 13:30 UTC) 🟡 Fed's Bowman speech (Mon 12:15 UTC) 🟡 Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Mon 14:30 UTC) SESSION OUTLOOK Lagarde at 1.13:30 UTC is primary driver; expect volatility around Fed/ECB speakers. Watch support holds at 1.135 for continuation lower.

Key Levels

R: 1.14000 · 1.14500 · 1.16538

S: 1.13598 · 1.13500 · 1.13000