USDJPY New York briefing — 2026-09-30

BIAS BEARISH. H4 and H1 EMAs aligned bearish; H4 and H1 fair value gaps confirm downside; liquidity sweep of lows provides pullback fuel into resistance. KEY LEVELS R: 157.00, 159.03 | S: 156.50, 152.91 NEWS 🔴 ADP Employment Change (USD) — 12:15 UTC 🔴 Core PCE MoM/YoY (USD) — 12:30 UTC SESSION OUTLOOK ADP and PCE data risk volatility around 157 resistance. Watch for breakdown below 156.50 on softer data; sweep lows increase retest probability.

Key Levels

R: 157.000 · 159.029

S: 156.500 · 152.908