USDJPY New York briefing — 2026-09-25

BIAS BULLISH. Daily structure + H4/H1 EMA confluence drives directional bias despite H1/H4 fair value gaps showing bearish pressure. KEY LEVELS R: 158.0 | 160.40 | S: 157.5 | 152.91 NEWS 🟡 Durable Goods Orders (USD) Fri 12:30 UTC 🟡 Durable Goods ex Defense (USD) Fri 12:30 UTC 🟡 Durable Goods ex Transportation (USD) Fri 12:30 UTC SESSION OUTLOOK Watch NY open reaction to trio of durable goods releases. RSI at 47.86 leaves room for directional extension into resistance if data surprises USD-positive.

Key Levels

R: 158.000 · 160.405

S: 157.500 · 152.908