USDJPY New York briefing — 2026-08-04

BIAS BEARISH. D1 structure confirms downside; H4 EMA bearish despite H1 neutrality and RSI mid-range suggest weakening momentum into New York. KEY LEVELS R: 158.00 | 164.09 S: 157.50 | 155.25 NEWS 🟡 Redbook Index (YoY) – 12:55 UTC 🟡 Factory Orders (MoM) – 14:00 UTC 🟡 JOLTS Job Openings – 14:00 UTC SESSION OUTLOOK Weak US retail data could trigger downside acceleration toward 157.50. Watch 158 resistance for rejection confirmation into New York close.

Key Levels

R: 158.000 · 164.088

S: 157.500 · 155.251