USDJPY Asia briefing — 2026-08-04

BIAS BEARISH. D1 structure bearish; H4 EMA bearish; RSI 39.7 neutral but price near support suggests downside pressure. KEY LEVELS R: 157.5, 164.09 | S: 157.00, 155.25 NEWS 🟡 Monetary Base YoY (JPY) – Mon 23:50 UTC | 🟡 10-y Bond Auction (JPY) – Tue 03:35 UTC | 🟡 Trade Balance (USD) – Tue 12:30 UTC SESSION OUTLOOK Watch support hold at 157.00; JPY data may drive volatility. H1 neutral divergence suggests caution on aggressive shorts.

Key Levels

R: 157.500 · 164.088

S: 157.000 · 155.251