GBPJPY New York briefing — 2026-09-15

BIAS BEARISH. Daily structure bearish; H4 EMA confirms downside. H1 bullish divergence creates near-term pullback risk but doesn't override the macro bias. KEY LEVELS R: 209.00, 217.08 | S: 208.50, 206.29 NEWS 🟡 Merchandise Trade Balance (JPY) – Tue 23:50 UTC 🟡 Exports YoY (JPY) – Tue 23:50 UTC 🟡 Imports YoY (JPY) – Tue 23:50 UTC SESSION OUTLOOK NY open likely tests 209 resistance. JPY data at session close may accelerate late shorts if weakness confirmed. Watch 208.50 hold for continuation.

Key Levels

R: 209.000 · 217.080

S: 208.500 · 206.290