EURUSD New York briefing — 2026-11-04

BIAS BULLISH. Trend vote (D1 + EMA H4 + H1 combined) bullish; H4 and H1 fair value gaps bullish; liquidity sweep of highs offset by gap structure strength. KEY LEVELS R: 1.13, 1.135 | S: 1.125, 1.12, 1.11068 NEWS 🔴 ADP Employment Change (USD) 13:15 UTC 🟡 ECB Lane Speech (EUR) 13:20 UTC 🔴 Goods/Services Trade Balance (USD) 13:30 UTC SESSION OUTLOOK ADP and trade data drive USD volatility early. Watch 1.13 resistance rejection or breakout; bullish bias holds if fair value gaps remain intact post-data.

Key Levels

R: 1.12694 · 1.13000 · 1.13500

S: 1.12500 · 1.12000 · 1.11068