EURUSD New York briefing — 2026-09-25

BIAS BEARISH. D1 structure, H4 EMA, and H1 EMA combined with bearish H4 fair value gaps establish downside bias despite neutral RSI. KEY LEVELS R: 1.145, 1.15, 1.16538 | S: 1.14, 1.13598, 1.135 NEWS 🟡 Durable Goods Orders (USD) — Fri 12:30 UTC 🟡 Durable Goods Orders ex Defense (USD) — Fri 12:30 UTC 🟡 Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation (USD) — Fri 12:30 UTC SESSION OUTLOOK Watch for USD strength on durables data to confirm downside rejection from 1.145. H4/H1 divergence may create chop; favor lower timeframe entries aligned to H4 bearish structure.

Key Levels

R: 1.14500 · 1.15000 · 1.16538

S: 1.14000 · 1.13598 · 1.13500