EURUSD New York briefing — 2026-09-22

BIAS BEARISH. D1 + H4 + H1 trend alignment, H4 and H1 fair value gaps, and lows sweep confirm downside pressure despite neutral RSI. KEY LEVELS R: 1.15, 1.155, 1.16538 | S: 1.145, 1.14345, 1.14 NEWS 🔴 ECB Lagarde speech 12:00 UTC 🟡 ADP 4-week avg 12:15 UTC 🔵 Redbook YoY 12:55 UTC SESSION OUTLOOK Lagarde speech volatility into US data cluster. Watch hold of support through news; break below 1.145 confirms bear continuation.

Key Levels

R: 1.15000 · 1.15500 · 1.16538

S: 1.14500 · 1.14345 · 1.14000