EURUSD Asia briefing — 2026-08-17

BIAS NEUTRAL — H4/H1 EMAs bullish yet D1 structure bullish conflicts with stated bearish bias; RSI 58.75 offers no conviction. Signal conflict demands honesty over forced direction. KEY LEVELS R: 1.159, 1.16, 1.165 | S: 1.155, 1.15, 1.13753 NEWS 🟡 ECB Lane speech (EUR) 09:30 UTC 🟡 Empire State Manufacturing (USD) 12:30 UTC 🟡 NAHB Housing Index (USD) 14:00 UTC SESSION OUTLOOK Lane remarks could shape EUR momentum pre-US data. Watch 1.159 resistance; break above confirms bulls, hold below favors shorts into US opens.

Key Levels

R: 1.15900 · 1.16000 · 1.16500

S: 1.15500 · 1.15000 · 1.13753