EURAUD New York briefing — 2026-09-03

BIAS BEARISH. H4/H1 EMAs aligned downside; RSI neutral at 38 prevents oversold confirmation, but price structure supports lower targets. KEY LEVELS R: 1.615, 1.62, 1.64454 | S: 1.61, 1.60531, 1.605 NEWS 🟡 ECB Lane Speech – Fri 09:00 UTC 🔴 EUR Retail Sales (YoY) – Fri 09:00 UTC 🟡 EUR Retail Sales (MoM) – Fri 09:00 UTC SESSION OUTLOOK NY session sets tone into Friday's ECB data. Watch for early dip-buyers testing 1.61 support or momentum rejection at 1.615 resistance ahead of event risk.

Key Levels

R: 1.61500 · 1.62000 · 1.64454

S: 1.61000 · 1.60531 · 1.60500