AUDJPY New York briefing — 2026-08-18

BIAS NEUTRAL. Daily structure bullish yet H1/H4 EMA divergence conflicts; RSI overbought at 76 signals pullback risk despite upside momentum. KEY LEVELS R: 113.97, 114.00 | S: 113.50, 109.24 NEWS 🟡 Machinery Orders MoM/YoY (JPY) – Tue 23:50 UTC 🟡 Wage Price Index QoQ (AUD) – Wed 01:30 UTC SESSION OUTLOOK Watch NY open reaction to machinery data; overbought RSI may cap rallies into 114. Support at 113.50 critical if reversals trigger.

Key Levels

R: 113.967 · 114.000

S: 113.500 · 109.244